Gold Signals Additional Weakness Ahead

Gold closed higher due to short covering on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's decline. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday but Stochastics and the RSI are still bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible near term.

If December renews the decline off September's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2008-2011 rally crossing at 1476.20 is the next downside target. Closes above Monday's high crossing at 1696.80 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

Our Chart Analysis Score for gold has moved to +55 indicating a trading range for this precious metal in the near term. Longer term, our monthly Trade Triangle and our intermediate term weekly Trade Triangle remain in a positive mode. I think most traders would be better off just watching from the sidelines. Only long term traders should maintain long positions with the appropriate money management stops in place.


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