Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Tim Knight: All Assets Are Moving Together, So Watch Gold

With asset correlation nearly 1.0 across the board, it hardly matters what you watch for guidance as to the market's general direction..........the Dow, the S&P, the Russell, crude oil, gold, silver, kitty litter......if one moves down, they all move down, with rare exceptions. (The only consistent odd-man-out, of course, is bonds, which have been strong all year and move inversely to equities).
Gold, I think, is a particularly good guide right now. It used to have this freakish property of being in a world unto itself, but I think it has basically decided to become the stock market. All assets are moving together, so watch gold - - if we get a path like the one below, the bears are going to have a medium-sized victory across the board.
1219-gcg

Posted courtesy of The Slope of Hope

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