OIl N Gold: Gold Weekly Technical Outlook

Gold's rebound from 1705.4 extend further to as high as 1887.4 last week and seems to be accelerating. Initial bias remains on the upside for 1917.9 high. Break will confirm up trend resumption and should target 2000 psychological level. On the downside, break of 1815.5 minor support will flip bias to the downside towards 1705.4 to continue the consolidation from 1917.9.

In the bigger picture, firstly, gold's long term up trend is still intact and there is no signal of reversal yet. Current development suggests that gold will attempt to make a new record high above 1917.9 in near term possibly to 61.8% projection of 1478.3 to 1917.9 from 1705.4 at 1997.1. But we'll be cautious on another near term reversal near to 2000 psychological level and finally bring some lengthier consolidation. But in any case, we won't consider medium term reversal possibly before sustained break of 55 days EMA (now at 1691.7)

In the long term picture, rise from 681 is treated as resumption of the long term up trend from 1999 low of 253 and there is no sign of topping yet. Current up trend could now be targeting 161.8% projection of 253 to 1033.9 from 681 at 1945.6. Sustained trading above 2000 psychological level should pave the way to 261.8% projection at 2727.2.

Comex Gold Continuous Contract 4 Hours Chart