Weekly Gold and Silver Market Recap with Mike Seery for Week Ending February 20th

We've asked our trading partner Michael Seery to give our readers a weekly recap of the futures market. He has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Here's Mikes call on gold and silver. Read more of his calls for this week by visiting here.

Gold futures in the April contract settled last Friday at 1,227 while currently at 1,207 down about $20 for the trading week still trading below their 20 & 100 moving average telling you that the trend is to the downside as prices have hit a 6 week low. I am currently sitting on the sidelines awaiting better chart structure to develop as investors continue to put money into the equity market as gold seems to be entering into a bearish trend once again in my opinion.

The next level of major support is around the 1,180 level and if that level is broken I would have think that a retest of the contract low which was hit in early November 2014 could be in the cards so keep a close eye on this trade because a trade could be coming if chart structure improves and that could happen next week.

Problems around the world seem to be out of the lime light at the current time as I don’t see any real reason to own gold as I remain bullish the S&P 500 as the U.S dollar continues to hover around 11 year highs as I think the dollar is in a secular bull market for some time to come as Europe’s economy is not as strong as the United States as that’s also a negative fundamental influence on gold prices.
Trend: Lower
Chart Structure: Poor

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Silver futures are trading below their 20 & 100 day moving average continuing its bearish trend hitting a 6 week low as I am currently sitting on the sidelines waiting for better chart structure to develop. Silver prices settled last Friday around 17.30 while currently trading at 16.35 down about 95 cents for the trading week as the trend still remains choppy in my opinion.

Silver prices topped out around the 18.50 level last month as we might be on the sidelines for some time as I would like to see lower volatility as well as a possible retest of 15.50 could be underway and if you are bearish silver prices my recommendation would be to sell at today’s price while placing your stop loss at the 10 day high of 17.40 risking around $1,100 per mini contract plus slippage and commission however I am watching this market at the current time.
Trend: Choppy
Chart Structure: OK

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