Gold's correction from 1145.8 extended further to as low as 1097.3 last week. Initial bias remains on the downside this week and further decline could still be seen. But after all, rise from 1044.5 is in favor to continue as long as 1088.5 support holds. Above 1119.5 minor resistance will flip intraday back to the upside for retesting 1145.8. Break will target 1163 resistance next. However, sustained break of 1088.5 will indicate that whole rise from 1044.5 is completed and will turn outlook bearish for another fall towards this low.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1227.5 are treated as correction to rise from 931.3 only and might have completed at 1044.5 already after being supported by 61.8% retracement of 931.3 to 1227.5 at 1044.4. Strong break of 1163 resistance will further affirm this case. On rally resumption, next medium term target will be 100% projection of 931.3 to 1227.5 from 1044.5 at 1340.7. On the downside, break of 1088.5 support will in turn argue that correction from 1227.5 would extend further before completion.
In the long term picture, rise from 681 is treated as resumption of the long term up trend from 1999 low of 253 after interim consolidation from 1033.9 has completed in form of an expanding triangle. Next long term target is 100% projection of 253 to 1033.9 from 681 at 1462 level. We'll hold on to the bullish view as long as 931.3 structural support holds.....Comex Gold Continuous Contract 4 Hours Chart.
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