Mike Seerys Weekly Gold and Silver Futures Recap

Our trading partner Michael Seery is back with his weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Gold futures in the June contract are closing down $18 this Friday afternoon to settle around 1,176 an ounce hitting a 5 week low as I’m now recommending a short position while placing your stop loss above the 10 day high which currently stands at 1,209 risking around $32 or $1,000 per mini contract plus slippage and commission as the chart structure is solid at the current time.

Gold futures finished down about $25 for the trading week as all the action is back into the S&P 500 which is hitting all time highs once again this Friday afternoon as money is coming out all precious metals and into the equity market and that trend is going to continue as I’m recommending a bullish position in the equities at the current time as well.

Gold futures are trading below their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the trend remains to the downside as the chart structure will not improve for another week or so but take advantage of any rallies as I think the risk/reward is your favor as the retest of 1,140 could be developing here in the next several weeks especially if the S&P 500 continues to move to the upside. The U.S dollar continues to consolidate its massive move to the upside and I think that will continue but I don’t see any reason to own gold at the current time.
Trend: Lower
Chart structure: Solid

Here's more calls from Mike on Oats. natural gas, coffee, corn, wheat, soybeans and more!

Silver futures in the July contract are down $.15 this Friday afternoon to close around 15.71 an ounce hitting a 5 week low as I have been recommending a short position when prices broke $16.00 and if you took that trade the chart structure has improved tremendously in the last several days so place your stop at 16.55 risking around $.80 or $800 per mini contract plus slippage and commission.

The next level of support in silver is 15.50 and if that’s broken in next week’s trade I would have to think that a longer term bear market would be in place so continue to play this to the downside as the risk/reward is in your favor in my opinion. Silver futures are trading below their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the trend is to the downside as it has the classic bear market trend grinding lower on a daily basis as I do think volatility will increase.

Volatility is still relatively low as silver and gold futures were down Friday afternoon also hitting a 5 month low as the precious metals remain weak as the U.S dollar is still hovering around an 11 year high as I think a secular bullish trend in the dollar will continue for quite some time so continue to play silver to the downside.

Silver futures on the daily chart may have created a longer term head and shoulders top but as a trader I want to focus on risk as the chart structure will not improve until later next week as I see no reason to own the precious metals as all the action is back into the stock market as prices are hitting all time highs again today.
Trend: Lower
Chart structure: Solid

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Here's Why Gold Will Be Priceless in Three to Five Years

Over the next few years as debt, currencies and countries start to fall apart and individuals will be looking to place their money where it will hold its value and buying power during times of extreme uncertainty.

If you eliminate fiat currencies which are created out of this air and are nothing more than a credit we are left with precious metals and stones. As much as we have evolved over time, we could be valuing things like gold, silver, platinum, and precious stones more so than our currency.

Let’s face it, currencies are swinging in value 20-50% regularly and while most people do not realize it their buying power often is not as strong as it was. Would you rather hold a large portion of your capital in say the EURO which is falling like a rock in value costing you thousands of dollars a month, or would gold and silver which rises in value as your currency falls be a smarter decision?

Click Here to Read Chris Vermeulen's entire article and charts





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Why You Should Listen to This Man About Gold

By Jeff Clark, Senior Precious Metals Analyst

Would you like your advice from someone who has been successful or from someone who’s failed? I’d prefer to hear from a winner.

Now that the gold market has been mauled by a bear, we can sort out the pretenders from the contenders in the mining industry. After all, there’s nothing like a major down cycle to reveal which companies are run by people who know how to prepare for bad weather.

The price of gold has fallen more than a third since August 2011, crushing the prices of gold stocks....but not all of them.

Check out the performance of Franco Nevada (FNV).

FNV shares have actually risen in this bear market. Even if you bought the stock when gold peaked in 2011, you’re sitting on a profit. How many gold stocks can make that claim?

Clearly Chairman Pierre Lassonde is doing something right. You might think it’s because royalty companies have performed better than producers in this time period, but the other royalty heavyweights—Royal Gold and Silver Wheaton—are down with most other stocks in the sector since gold’s 2011 peak.

Chairman Lassonde was one of the fathers of the royalty business model developed in 1985, so apparently he knew how to position his company to benefit from the financial pain most producers haven’t been able to avoid.

Watching and following an industry’s most successful players can pay off very well for investors. So what’s Pierre doing today?

Given the state of the gold market right now, he’s making a major call, one of the most consequential in his 40 year career. It’s a clear and very timely message for gold investors that you’ll be glad you received. He knows what he’s talking about. Join him along with Frank Holmes, Rick Rule, Bob Quartermain, Ron Netolitzky, Doug Casey, Louis James, and myself in our free webcast, “Going Vertical”. It’s a one hour event that is well worth your time.

The article Why You Should Listen to This Man About Gold was originally published at caseyresearch.com.

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Going Vertical.....Our Next Online Event

There are again signs on the horizon that the next gold bull market may not be far off.

On February 11, Bloomberg reported, “Gold producers with cash on hand are on the hunt for cheap mining assets as rising prices drive shares higher.” $2.7 billion in deals have already been announced or completed year to date—compared to a total of $10.5 billion in 2014.

Private equity firms (the “smart money”) are circling the mining industry for great deals. GDX, the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF, currently has an aggregate price to book ratio of 1.06, while its little brother, the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), trades at 76% of book value.

A stronger US dollar and falling oil prices are presenting two deflationary forces that are good for gold. The last two times oil dropped more than 50% in one year—1986 and 2008—gold rallied over 25% the following year.

Here's our video primer for this weeks event "Are you Going to Buy Low and Sell High this Time Around"

Investors are waking up to the fact that gold is rallying. Among the top 10 non leveraged ETFs are five gold miners ETFs. As of early February, investors had already poured $885.4 million in new assets into GDX—one of the best results among sector ETFs—and GDXJ attracted nearly $226 million.

No one can say for sure if this is the beginning of the next gold bull market. However, what is clear is that once the bull market does get started, the best of the best gold stocks will go vertical.

Successful gold producers may go up 150-200%. But the top ranked junior miners—the companies with quality management and great assets will take a moonshot. 500%, 1,000%, and more is not out of the question.

Casey Research’s free online event GOING VERTICAL aims to help investors understand where we are in the gold cycle, what to expect, and how to prepare their portfolio so they have a real shot at the jackpot when gold rises again.

Just Click Here to Reserve Your Spot

Eight industry stars discuss the most pressing issues of the day......

Pierre Lassonde, cofounder and chairman of Franco-Nevada
Rick Rule, founder and chairman of Sprott Global Resource Investments
Ron Netolitzky, chairman and director of Aben Resources
Doug Casey, chairman of Casey Research
Frank Holmes, CEO and CIO of U.S. Global Investors
Bob Quartermain, president, CEO, and director of Pretium Resources
and Casey Research precious metals experts Louis James and Jeff Clark.

Topics they will talk about in GOING VERTICAL include: 2015 outlook on the gold market; up, down, or sideways?—What to expect from gold’s next leg up, and how even stocks that have dropped 75% or more can come back with a vengeance—How to make money on junior miners even in the midst of a downturn—Which country may end up controlling the price of gold and what that means for investors—4 signs that a bear market is turning into a bull market—Which types of companies institutional investors will flock to first when gold goes up, and how to “front run” them—3 reasons why the best gold producers might double when the gold sector recovers—and much more.

Also, some of the experts talk about their favorite gold and silver companies, naming names—and Louis James reveals one of his favorite junior mining stock with vertical potential.

Register now to watch the event on Tuesday, March 10, 2:00 p.m. EDT. Even if you know you can’t make it at that time, register anyway that way you’ll get an email with a link to the video recording after the event and can watch it at your leisure.

Click Here to Learn More and Register

See you on Tuesday,
The Gold ETF Trader



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It's Time for Mike Seerys Weekly Gold and Silver Market Summary

We've asked our trading partner Michael Seery to give our readers a weekly recap of the futures market. He has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Here's Mikes call on gold and silver. Read more of his calls for this week by visiting here.

Gold futures in the April contract are trading far below their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the trend is to the downside after settling last Friday at 1,213 while trading at 1,172 down $22 this Friday afternoon as the monthly unemployment report was construed as bullish sending gold to a 9 week low.

The U.S dollar is hitting another contract high up 110 points putting pressure on the precious metals as I'm currently recommending a short position in the mini contract which is $33 for every dollar move while placing your stop above the 10 day high which currently stands 1,223 risking around 50 points or $1800 per contract plus slippage and commission.

In my opinion I believe the U.S dollar will continue its bullish trend and therefore should continue putting bearish pressure on gold and silver prices here in the short term as the next level of support is at 1,165 and if that is breached I think that we test the contract low around 1,130 so continue to play this to the downside as the chart structure will start to improve later next week tightening the stop and reducing monetary risk.

Many of the commodity and stock markets were lower today due to the fact that United States treasury bonds plummeted this afternoon sending yields higher as now the speculation is that the Federal Reserve will start to raise rates in June which is another pessimistic fundamental indicator towards gold prices.
Trend: Lower
Chart Structure: Solid

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Silver futures in the May contract are trading below their 20 & 100 day moving average down about $.30 this Friday afternoon trading at 15.85 an ounce settling last Friday at 16.56 down around 70 cents for the trading week hitting a 9 week low as the U.S dollar is sharply higher once again. I am currently recommending a short position in silver in the mini contract which is $10 for every cent while placing your stop loss above the 10 day high around 16.90 risking around a $1.00 or $1,000 per contract plus slippage and commission.

The U.S dollar is the reason to blame for silvers weakness in today’s trade as I do believe commodity prices as a whole continue to move lower in the short time as the dollar looks to possibly hit 100 so continue to play this to the downside as the next major level of support is 15.50 which was hit on many different occasions only to rally every single time, however if that’s broken you would have to think that the bear market would resume.

The trend is your friend in the commodity markets and the trend is to downside at the current time however if you disagree with my opinion and you think prices are going higher my recommendation would be to buy at today’s price while placing the stop loss below 15.50 risking $.35 or $350 per mini contract plus slippage and commission, however I am currently recommending a short position in silver as prices look to retest contract lows in my opinion.
Trend: Lower
Chart Structure: Solid


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Weekly Gold and Silver Market Recap with Mike Seery for Week Ending Friday February 27th

It's time for our trading partner Mike Seery to give us his weekly call on commodities [including where to place your stops] and especially coffee and sugar. Mike has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Gold futures in the April contract are currently trading at 1,212 up around $3 an ounce while settling last Friday at 1,205 finishing up $7 in a relatively quiet trading week. Gold futures are trading below their 20 and 100 day moving average as I’ve talked about in many previous blogs I do think gold is now being used as a currency due to the fact that the Euro currency and many foreign currencies are absolutely falling out of bed as interest rates in many countries have gone negative so who wants to place money into a bank and lose money as investors are looking at gold which has no dividend but still it’s better than a negative return.

Volatility in many of the commodity markets is very high at the current time especially the precious metals and I expect that to continue despite the fact that the U.S dollar hit an 11 year high continuing its secular bull market in my opinion as I do think 100 is on its way in the next several months as the United States economy is doing much better than any economy worldwide. Gold futures have rallied from a contract low of 1,130 all the way up to about 1,310 in the last several months as I’m sitting on the sidelines waiting for better chart structure to develop as money is moving back into the S&P 500 sending prices to all time highs as I don’t see any reason to own gold despite all of the worldwide problems.
Trend: Lower
Chart Structure: Solid

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Silver futures in the May contract are up $.5 this Friday afternoon in New York currently trading at 16.66 an ounce settling last Friday at 16.32 finishing up about 40 cents for the trading week with extreme volatility so make sure that you use the proper amount of contracts risking only 2% of your account balance as I like to trade the mini contract which is $10 a cent versus $50 a cent on the large contract as high volatility has also entered the S&P 500 and the currency markets in recent weeks.

As I talked about in previous blogs I believe silver is now being used as a currency due to the fact that interest rates around the world are so low that investors are looking at silver as a currency replacing traditional paper currencies as nobody wants to own anything in Europe. Many of the commodity markets continue to head lower however silver remains choppy at the current time as I am still recommending investors to sit on the sidelines and wait for a trend to develop.
Trend: Mixed
Chart Structure: Solid


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Just Click Here for his calls on Coffee, Sugar, Cotton, Soybeans and More.



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Free Webinar: How You Generate Consistent Trading Results in Today's Markets

Our trading partner John Carter is back this Tuesday February 24th with another one of his wildly popular free trading webinars. This time John will be covering his trading strategy using "premium decay".

If you have attended one of John's free webinars you know that he has a unique ability to give traders that "over his shoulder" view of how he performs these trades making it very easy to understand.

Best thing of all though, he shows us how this can be done in any size account. Limiting brokerage fees so we can make money even in small accounts.

Get your reserved seat now....Just Click Here

In this free webinar John will discuss....

  *  Why trading options are perfect for newbies, retirees, part time traders, and full time traders

  *  Why options are safer than trading stocks, futures or forex while holding on for bigger winners

  *  One strategy he uses for consistent trading results that you can use the next trading day

  *  The brain dead rules to follow so you can know exactly how to trade this one set up for consistency

  *  How traders get sucked into buying the wrong stocks at the wrong price so you never get suckered into a trade again

      And much more….

Johns webinars are highly attended and usually have a waiting list at start time. Get your seat now then make sure you log in 10-15 minutes early on Tuesday evening to make sure you keep that seat.

Follow this link to get your spot before this webinar is fully subscribed.....Sign Up Now

John has provided a great free video primer for this webinar.....Watch it Now

See you Tuesday!
Ray @ the Gold ETF Trader



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Weekly Gold and Silver Market Recap with Mike Seery for Week Ending February 20th

We've asked our trading partner Michael Seery to give our readers a weekly recap of the futures market. He has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Here's Mikes call on gold and silver. Read more of his calls for this week by visiting here.

Gold futures in the April contract settled last Friday at 1,227 while currently at 1,207 down about $20 for the trading week still trading below their 20 & 100 moving average telling you that the trend is to the downside as prices have hit a 6 week low. I am currently sitting on the sidelines awaiting better chart structure to develop as investors continue to put money into the equity market as gold seems to be entering into a bearish trend once again in my opinion.

The next level of major support is around the 1,180 level and if that level is broken I would have think that a retest of the contract low which was hit in early November 2014 could be in the cards so keep a close eye on this trade because a trade could be coming if chart structure improves and that could happen next week.

Problems around the world seem to be out of the lime light at the current time as I don’t see any real reason to own gold as I remain bullish the S&P 500 as the U.S dollar continues to hover around 11 year highs as I think the dollar is in a secular bull market for some time to come as Europe’s economy is not as strong as the United States as that’s also a negative fundamental influence on gold prices.
Trend: Lower
Chart Structure: Poor

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Silver futures are trading below their 20 & 100 day moving average continuing its bearish trend hitting a 6 week low as I am currently sitting on the sidelines waiting for better chart structure to develop. Silver prices settled last Friday around 17.30 while currently trading at 16.35 down about 95 cents for the trading week as the trend still remains choppy in my opinion.

Silver prices topped out around the 18.50 level last month as we might be on the sidelines for some time as I would like to see lower volatility as well as a possible retest of 15.50 could be underway and if you are bearish silver prices my recommendation would be to sell at today’s price while placing your stop loss at the 10 day high of 17.40 risking around $1,100 per mini contract plus slippage and commission however I am watching this market at the current time.
Trend: Choppy
Chart Structure: OK

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Simple Strategy Alert: Premium Decay

We all think we know what premium decay is right? Well, I thought I knew how it worked until I watched this new video from our trading partner John Carter of Simpler Options. I never knew just how powerful and simple it was to apply knowledge of the decay principal to trading options.

Basically it's a way to insure the health of your portfolio even in an unhealthy market.

In this free video John shows us a simple and effective strategy for using premium decay, but he also shows you his strategy to make money on a stock whether it's going up or down.

Watch His Free Video Here

Here's a sample of what John will share with us.....

  *  How to “control” stocks for a fraction of the price so you don’t risk all your capital - How you can
      generate consistent returns being dead wrong

  *  What “premium decay” is and how you can use to it to give yourself an edge in trading

  *  How you can set up occasional home run trades while generating consistent returns

  *  A handful of the key stocks I look at every day so you don’t go bug eyed looking for stocks to trade


Don't miss the game changing video "Simple Strategy Alert: Premium Decay"....Watch Video Now

John Carter has become well known for his wildly popular free options trading webinars and his free options trading eBook that changed the way traders looked at options trading in 2014.

Download the free eBook Here, While you still can!

Weekly Gold and Silver Markets Recap with Mike Seery

It's time for our weekly commodity futures recap with our trading partner Mike Seery. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets. And frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold futures in the April contract are up $13 this afternoon in New York currently trading at $1,233 an ounce after settling last Friday around $1,235 basically unchanged for the trading week still right near 4 week lows is I’m recommending investors to sit on the sidelines in this market as the trend is currently mixed. Gold futures are trading below their 20 but just barely above their 100 day moving average as the S&P 500 had a terrific week as the Dow Jones cracked 18,000 to the upside as that’s where the interest lies currently as the next major level of support is between $1,180 – $1,220 but sit on the sidelines as the chart structure is absolutely terrible at the current time.

If you have followed any of my previous blogs I constantly stress the fact to avoid markets that are choppy as I think the success rate is very low unless you are some type of day trader but I hold positions overnight so look for another market that is beginning to trend and keep an eye on gold as I don’t think we will be trading this market for quite some time. The U.S dollar is still right near 11 year high and that’s always pessimistic commodities in general especially the precious metals but at the current time I just don’t have an opinion on this market as I think we will chop around in the short term.
Trend: Mixed
Chart Structure: Poor

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Silver futures in the March contract are up $.55 this afternoon still trading below their 20 but above their 100 day moving average telling you this trend is mixed as I’m also advising traders to sit on the sidelines in this market as we were stopped out at the 2 week low around 16.71 last Friday as this market remains extremely volatile but prices continue to move sideways. Silver prices settled last Friday at 16.70 currently trading at 17.35 up about $.65 an impressive week in my opinion as many of the commodity markets are sharply higher today due to the fact that crude oil is up another $2 which is beneficial and supportive to many commodity prices thinking that the giant bear markets might be finished.

As a trader I’m always looking for a breakout but at the current time silver looks like it’s in a bottoming pattern in my opinion with no breakout occurring as the real level that you want to look at is 18.50 if prices break above that level I would be recommending a bullish position but at the current time the chart structure is poor so look elsewhere. The one bullish fundamental reason for silver to move higher is the fact that it’s used in electronic components and that business is going to be here for a long time to come so theirs actual demand for silver unlike gold which is just primary used in jewelry as the electronic market should get larger and grow exponentially over the next 10/20 years in my opinion.
Trend: Mixed
Chart structure: Poor

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